Prostate cancer remains the most common noncutaneous cancer diagnosed for U.S. males, and ranks second among tumor site–specific mortality, with estimates for 2009 at over 192,000 new cases and 27,000 deaths.
1American Cancer Society
Cancer Facts & Figures 2009.
The majority of patients with prostate cancer are clinically asymptomatic with early-stage, organ-confined disease, and in fact, more than 50% of men who reach the age of 80 develop clinically insignificant prostate cancer. However, a subpopulation of prostate cancer patients progress to highly aggressive, androgen-independent metastatic disease, which is inevitably fatal. One of the important challenges in current prostate cancer research is to develop effective methods to determine whether a patient is likely to progress to aggressive, metastatic disease, to aid clinicians in deciding on the appropriate course of treatment. Biomarker assays that could predict progression and metastasis for prostate cancer patients would be of great utility in aiding clinical management of this large patient population. An important challenge in prostate cancer research is to develop effective predictors of tumor recurrence following surgery to determine whether immediate adjuvant therapy is warranted. Thus, biomarkers that could predict the likelihood of success for surgical therapies would be of great clinical significance.
Here, we have identified biomarkers predictive of recurrence by expression profiling archived FFPE tumor samples using both a custom panel of prostate cancer–associated mRNA genes and a panel of microRNA (miRNA) genes. These biomarkers were developed on a training set of 70 patients (29 with biochemical recurrence and 41 controls) and validated on an independent set of 40 samples (13 with biochemical recurrence and 27 controls) and were able to significantly discriminate between patients with and without biochemical recurrence following radical prostatectomy. Moreover, these biomarkers were able to discriminate biochemical recurrence in patients with Gleason score 7, for whom outcome is particularly difficult to predict.
Materials and Methods
Patient Samples
In the initial training set, 70 prostate cancer cases were used (29 with biochemical recurrence and 41 controls without recurrence), 45 patients from Sunnybrook Health Science Center (Toronto, ON), and 25 patients from Emory University (Atlanta, GA). The 45 cases of paraffin-embedded tissue samples from Toronto were drawn from men who underwent radical prostatectomy as the sole treatment for clinically localized prostate cancer between 1998 and 2006. The clinical data include multiple clinicopathological variables such as prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels, histological grade (Gleason score), tumor stage (pathological stage category, for example; organ confined, pT2; or with extra-prostatic extension, pT3a; or with seminal vesicle invasion, pT3b), and biochemical recurrence rates. For the cases from Emory University, both the training set (25 cases) and validation set (40 cases) FFPE samples were also selected from a screen of over a thousand patients through an institutional review board–approved retrospective study at Emory University of men who had undergone radical prostatectomy between 1990 and 1994. Those who were included met specific inclusion criteria, had available tissue specimens, had documented long-term follow-up, and consented to participate or were included by institutional review board waiver. The cases were assigned prostate identification numbers to protect their identities. These patients did not receive neoadjuvant or concomitant hormonal therapy. Their demographic, treatment, and long-term clinical outcome data have been collected and recorded in an electronic database. Clinical data recorded include PSA measurements, radiological studies and findings, clinical findings, tissue biopsies, and additional therapies that the subjects may have received. Clinical data associated with the samples used in this study are given in
Supplemental Table S1 (available at
http://ajp.amjpathol.org).
RNA Preparation
Tissue cores (1 mm) were used for RNA preparation rather than sections because of the heterogeneity of samples and the opportunity for obtaining cores with a very high percentage tumor content. H&E-stained slides were reviewed by a board-certified urologic pathologist (A.O.O.) to identify regions of cancer to select corresponding areas for cutting of cores from paraffin blocks. Total RNA was prepared at the Emory Biomarker Service Center from FFPE cores as previously described,
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Optimization of RNA extraction from FFPE tissues for expression profiling in the DASL assay.
using the Ambion Recoverall MagMax methodology in 96-well format on a MagMax 96 Liquid Handler Robot (Life Technologies, Carlsbad, CA). FFPE RNA was quantitated using a NanoDrop spectrophotometer (NanoDrop, Wilmington, DE), and tested for RNA integrity and quality by TaqMan analysis of the RPL13a ribosomal protein on a HT7900 real-time PCR instrument (Applied Biosystems, Foster City, CA). Samples with sufficient yield (>500 ng), A
260/A
280 ratio >1.8, and RPL13a C
T values less than 30 cycles were used for miRNA and DASL profiling.
Custom Prostate Cancer DASL Assay Pool
The DASL assay enables quantitation of expression of up to 1536 probes using RNA isolated from archived FFPE tumor tissue samples in a high throughput format.
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were distilled to develop a highly predictive set of 522 genes for use in the DASL assay. Due to specific probe design considerations, this panel had three probes for 497 genes, two probes for 20 genes, and a single probe for five genes, two of which were specific to
TMPRSS2-ERG and
TMPRSS2-ETV1 fusion transcripts. The unique combination of genes was optimized for performance in the DASL assay using stringent criteria that predicts excellent performance of the primer sets. The panel includes genes found to be correlated with Gleason score in Liu et al,
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In addition, a number of genes known from other studies to be critical in prostate cancer such as
NKX3.1,
PTEN, and the androgen receptor are all included in the panel. Other genes that play important roles in the Wnt, Hedgehog, TGFβ, Notch, MAPK, and PI3K pathways are also present in this gene set. Finally, primer sets that detect chromosomal translocations in
ERG,
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ETV1,
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TMPRSS2: ETV4 gene fusions define a third molecular subtype of prostate cancer.
are also included in this panel. The custom prostate cancer panel list of 522 candidate genes (see
Supplemental Table S2 at
http://ajp.amjpathol.org) was submitted to Illumina for synthesis (Illumina, San Diego, CA). The optimal oligonucleotide sequence for each of the 1536 gene probes was determined using an oligonucleotide scoring algorithm. The oligonucleotide pool or DASL Assay Pool was synthesized by Illumina for use with the 96-well Universal Array Matrix.
The DASL Assay
The DASL assay was performed with our 522-gene custom-designed human prostate cancer panel using 200 ng of input RNA at the Emory Biomarker Service Center, Emory University, according to the manufacturer's protocols. Samples, including technical replicates (two, three, or four) were hybridized on Universal Array Matrices, and scanned using the BeadStation 500 Instrument (Illumina). For miRNA DASL assays, the human miRNA v2 DASL panel (Illumina), which allows for the determination of expression of 1146 human miRNAs (>97% coverage of miRBase release 12), was used. These data are available in the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database under accession number GSE26367.
Data Analysis
DASL fluorescent intensities were interpreted in GenomeStudio, quantile normalized, and exported for meta-analysis. Average signal intensity, genes detected (P value = 0.01), background, and noise (SD of background) were analyzed for trends by plate, row, and column. The two endpoints of interest were postoperative biochemical recurrence, defined as two detectable PSA readings (>0.2 ng/mL), and clinical recurrence, defined as evidence of local or metastatic disease. The primary outcome of interest was time to biochemical recurrence following surgery. A local recurrence was defined as recurrence of cancer in the prostatic bed that was detected by either a palpable nodule on digital rectal examination and subsequently verified by a positive biopsy, and/or a positive imaging study [ProstaScint (EUSA Pharma, Langhorne, PA) or computed tomography scan] accompanied by a detectable postoperative PSA result and lack of evidence for metastases. Also, patients whose PSA levels decreased following adjuvant pelvic radiation therapy for elevated postoperative PSA were considered as local recurrence cases. A recurrence with metastases was defined as a positive imaging study indicating presence of a tumor outside of the prostatic bed.
To identify important biomarkers and build and evaluate prediction models for prostate cancer recurrence, we adopted the following strategy. In the training step, the prediction model was built based on the time to biochemical recurrence. Specifically, we first fit a univariate Cox proportional hazard (PH) model for each individual oligonucleotide probe using the training dataset, and a set of important mRNA and miRNA probes were then preselected based on a false discovery rate threshold of 0.30. Next, to identify the optimal prediction score based on the preselected probes, we fit a lasso Cox PH model
17The lasso method for variable selection in the Cox model.
, 18L1 penalized estimation in the Cox proportional hazards model.
using the training dataset, where the tuning parameter for lasso was selected using a leave-one-out cross-validation technique.
18L1 penalized estimation in the Cox proportional hazards model.
The lasso Cox PH model was fitted first using the set of preselected mRNA probes only and then using the complete set of preselected mRNA and miRNA probes, resulting in an optimal mRNA panel and an optimal combined mRNA/miRNA panel, respectively. Based on each biomarker panel, a final prediction model for recurrence was built to also incorporate relevant clinical biomarkers, namely, T-stage, PSA, and Gleason score, through fitting Cox PH models. For comparison, we also built a prediction model using only clinical information, namely, T-stage, PSA, and Gleason score, through fitting a Cox PH model.
To evaluate and validate the final prediction models obtained from the training phase, 79 samples from 40 patients were used, and replicate samples from the same patient were again averaged to generate a single average signal for each patient. Each prediction model from the training phase was used to generate a predictive score for each subject in the validation dataset, and subjects were subsequently divided into high and low scoring groups using the median predictive score. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to compare the time to biochemical recurrence, between high (poor score) and low (good score) risk groups, and the statistical significance was determined using the log-rank test. Similarly, we also evaluated the final model that uses the combined mRNA/miRNA panel for predicting time to clinical recurrence in both training and validation datasets.
Missing data are present in this study, in particular, for clinical recurrence, PSA, and T-stage data. We adopted the available-case approach
19Statistical Analysis with Missing Data.
in our analyses, and the sample sizes used in each step of building and evaluating prediction models may be less than the total sample size.
Discussion
In the past few years, enormous progress has been made in developing technologies to exploit FFPE tumor tissue samples for gene expression and proteomic analysis. The use of FFPE tissues as a starting material is attractive because this approach should make biomarkers identified in this way much easier to translate into widespread clinical practice. DASL profiling makes it possible to define gene sets using FFPE prostate cancer tissues that could have potential prognostic and predictive value. For example, the DASL assay has been used recently to identify a 16-gene set that correlates with prostate cancer relapse.
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There was no overlap between our panel of 10 mRNA and two miRNA biomarkers described here and the previously described 16-gene panel even though 10 of the genes in the 16-gene panel previously reported were included in our 522 custom prostate DASL panel. When we analyzed the performance of the probes corresponding to those 10 mRNAs in our dataset, we found that they were not able to significantly discriminate patients at higher or lower risk of recurrence. In this previous study, the gene signature selection and prediction model building were performed in separate steps, and the signature selection was based on the correlation between the gene expression and Gleason score rather than between the gene expression and time to biochemical recurrence; our analytic approach overcomes these limitations. Specifically, our approach of building (training) prediction models takes advantage of recent advancement in regularized regression models for survival outcomes
17The lasso method for variable selection in the Cox model.
, 18L1 penalized estimation in the Cox proportional hazards model.
; regularized regression models can achieve simultaneous feature selection and model estimation and avoid model overfitting, leading to better prediction performance. Our use of a preselection step is similar to the recently proposed sure independence screening methods,
47Sure independence screening for ultrahigh dimensional feature space.
, 48Sure independence screening in generalized linear models and NP-dimensionality.
which have been shown to achieve better performance in the presence of high-dimensional data for survival analysis compared to regularized regression without a preselection step.
49Principled sure independence screening for Cox models with ultra-high-dimensional covariates.
Two other recent studies have used DASL profiling to prostate cancer, but have not detected any signature that improved on clinical models in validation sets.
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Although these studies used large cohorts with long-term follow-up, they examined different panels of mRNA transcripts and did not include probes corresponding to miRNA genes. Moreover, these earlier studies suggested that tumor heterogeneity may play an important role in confounding signature identification. For our study of prostatectomy specimens, we identified the most prominent tumor lesion, and used a tissue core sample from that region to minimize stromal contributions and tumor heterogeneity.
In our 12-gene predictive biomarker panel, nine of the genes are positively associated with recurrence, and three are negatively associated with recurrence. The nine genes positively associated with recurrence included
miR-519d, Notch homolog 3 (
Notch3), Fructose-1,6-bisphosphatase 1 (
FBP1), ETS variant gene 1 (
ETV1), BH3 interacting domain death agonist (
BID), Single-Minded homolog 2 (
SIM2), RAD23 homolog B (
RAD23B), LETM1 domain containing 1 (
LETMD1), and Cyclin G2 (
CCNG2). Little is known about
miR-519d other than it may be associated with obesity.
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NOTCH3 is one of four Notch family receptors in humans, and Notch signaling has been shown to be important for prostate cancer cell growth, migration, and invasion,
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BID is a proapoptotic protein that binds to BCL2 and potentiates apoptotic responses on cleavage in response to tumor necrosis factor α (TNFα) and other death receptors.
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31- Arredouani M.S.
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SIM2 functions as a transcription factor that represses the proapoptotic gene
BNIP3.
56- Farrall A.L.
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The HIF1alpha-inducible pro-cell death gene BNIP3 is a novel target of SIM2s repression through cross-talk on the hypoxia response element.
RAD23B plays a critical role in DNA damage recognition and nucleotide excision repair,
20Critical DNA damage recognition functions of XPC-hHR23B and XPA-RPA in nucleotide excision repair.
as well as inhibiting MDM2-mediated degradation of the p53 tumor suppressor.
21- Brignone C.
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A post-ubiquitination role for MDM2 and hHR23A in the p53 degradation pathway.
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42- Cho G.W.
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TCF/ beta-catenin plays an important role in HCCR-1 oncogene expression.
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Identification and differential expression of novel human cervical cancer oncogene HCCR-2 in human cancers and its involvement in p53 stabilization.
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The three genes in the predictive biomarker panel negatively associated with recurrence were
miR-647, the TNFα receptor (
TNFRSF1A), and annexin A1 (
ANXA1). Although little is known about
miR-647,
TNFRSF1A (also known as
TNFR1) mediates proapoptotic responses to TNFα ligand.
23- Hsu H.
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The TNF receptor 1-associated protein TRADD signals cell death and NF-kappa B activation.
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Annexin A1 expression is reduced in early onset prostate cancer
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Loss of annexin 1 correlates with early onset of tumorigenesis in esophageal and prostate carcinoma.
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34- Patton K.T.
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ANXA1 plays important roles in vesicle trafficking and reduced
ANXA1 promotes EMT and metastasis,
35- Maschler S.
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Loss of annexin A1 disrupts normal prostate glandular structure by inducing autocrine IL-6 signaling.
Thus, as a whole, this panel of biomarkers appears to reflect changes in DNA stability, PI3K signaling, p53 activity, apoptosis, and differentiation consistent with more aggressive disease.
Although this study goes beyond a pilot study, enhanced by selection of samples from multiple institutions, the number of specimens tested is still relatively small. Re-analysis of our data using only the Emory samples for the training set did not identify any significant probes, likely due to the substantially smaller sample size. Thus, although the performance of our panel of biomarkers is significant, even for Gleason score 7 patients, future studies beyond the scope of this work will be necessary to perform independent validation on much larger sample sets with greater statistical power. Moreover, it is now feasible to perform DASL assays on virtually the entire genome, in an assay that queries 24,526 transcripts derived from the RefSeq database. Future studies will test combined mRNA and miRNA biomarker panels, and query the entire genome to determine whether other biomarker panels can achieve even greater success in prediction of biochemical and clinical recurrence of prostate cancer. Planned larger scale validation studies will determine whether these biomarkers are predictive for Gleason score 7 cases, and their utility at predicting clinical as well as biochemical recurrence.
Article info
Publication history
Published online: May 05, 2011
Accepted:
March 3,
2011
Footnotes
Supported in part by an Emory University Research Committee grant and the PHS Grant UL1 RR025008 from the Clinical and Translational Science Award program, National Institutes of Health, National Center for Research Resources; NIH R01 CA106826 and DOD PCRP IDEA Award PC093328 (to C.S.M); Emory Cancer Genomics Shared Resource and the Winship Cancer Center Support Grant (NIH P30CA138292); and the Canadian Cancer Society Research Institute (grant # 019038).
Supplemental material for this article can be found at http://ajp.amjpathol.org or doi:10.1016/j.ajpath.2011.03.008.
Current address of M.A., Departments of Pathology & Oncology, Jewish General Hospital, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Copyright
© 2011 American Society for Investigative Pathology. Published by Elsevier Inc.